Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.029418 0.032214 0.034970 0.037885 0.040876 0.043851 0.047029
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.024125 0.028667 0.033254 0.038208 0.043383 0.048612 0.054274
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019754 0.025416 0.031263 0.037690 0.044501 0.051461 0.059073
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016424 0.022878 0.029689 0.037290 0.045441 0.053848 0.063111
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013514 0.020523 0.028087 0.036654 0.045941 0.055596 0.066301
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011285 0.018736 0.026952 0.036385 0.046707 0.057510 0.069549
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009774 0.017640 0.026487 0.036759 0.048083 0.059997 0.073325
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007780 0.015815 0.025093 0.036017 0.048169 0.061031 0.075484
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006397 0.014617 0.024340 0.035928 0.048913 0.062723 0.078296
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005036 0.013321 0.023404 0.035575 0.049317 0.064003 0.080621
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003759 0.011997 0.022363 0.035051 0.049487 0.064990 0.082592
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002333 0.010249 0.020719 0.033772 0.048768 0.064966 0.083432
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001771 0.009827 0.020825 0.034677 0.050674 0.068007 0.087807
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001038 0.008982 0.020395 0.034978 0.051941 0.070397 0.091537
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000287 0.007701 0.019323 0.034474 0.052261 0.071716 0.094077
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006591 0.018389 0.034085 0.052674 0.073105 0.096659
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005446 0.017311 0.033468 0.052786 0.074125 0.098807
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004586 0.016556 0.033207 0.053278 0.075543 0.101363
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004108 0.016321 0.033570 0.054475 0.077729 0.104742
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003158 0.015260 0.032849 0.054376 0.078437 0.106468
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002578 0.014719 0.032763 0.055001 0.079940 0.109053
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001951 0.014004 0.032421 0.055301 0.081058 0.111193
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001336 0.013188 0.031912 0.055381 0.081908 0.113019